NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh announced that he “ripped up” the supply and confidence agreement with the Liberal government. The big question now is: will Canadians face a snap election this year? Singh himself is unsure about the timing of the election. Canada’s fixed election date law requires a federal election to happen by October 2025. The collapse of the NDP-Liberal deal, meant to keep the Liberals in power until June 2025, raises the possibility of an earlier vote.
Political analysts believe the NDP won’t immediately try to bring down the government when the House of Commons reconvenes on Sept. 16. They may want to position themselves as a true alternative to the surging Conservatives. The NDP’s withdrawal from the agreement with the Liberals means they may not always support the government in confidence votes.
In Canada’s parliamentary system, a party seeking to govern must have the confidence of the majority in the House of Commons. Confidence votes, which can trigger an election, can come in various forms. For example, budgets and spending bills are considered de facto confidence votes.
The next few weeks leading up to the election will involve a lot of deal-making by the Liberals. The Bloc Quebecois and the NDP’s actions will also play a crucial role in determining the timing and outcome of the election.
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